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March to roar in like a lion, though chill to be short-lived - WIFR

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ROCKFORD, Ill. (WIFR) - You won’t likely find too many people sad to see February come to a close. Even though the month ended on a much milder note, days with below normal temperatures out numbered those with above normal temperatures by more than a two to one ratio.

Temperatures Sunday reached the 40s for the sixth time in February's final seven days,...
Temperatures Sunday reached the 40s for the sixth time in February's final seven days, following a brutal and relentless arctic blast.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

The month closes as the sixth coldest on record here, dating back to 1906. Were it not for the late month thaw, it would’ve been, without question, the coldest ever. Interestingly, of the five Februaries to be colder than 2021, two have occurred in the past decade, and in back-to-back years, back in 2014 and 2015. From a snowfall standpoint, February, 2021 was fairly normal. The 9.2″ tally at month’s close is slightly above the 7.7″ typically witnessed in the month. For the winter as a whole, we stand at 34.5″, a solid 3.5″ above normal. However, with no snow in the forecast for at least the next ten days, that surplus may well turn into a deficit.

Thanks to the late thaw, we went from having been the coldest February of all time to 6th...
Thanks to the late thaw, we went from having been the coldest February of all time to 6th coldest. Snowfall was pretty close to normal.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

A strong cold front’s passage late Sunday has sent temperatures tumbling, and as clearing occurs in the evening and overnight hours, the cooling trend will only be accelerated. As we mark March’s arrival at 12:00am, temperatures will have fallen into the 20s areawide, with chills dipping into the teens and even the single digits in one or two spots.

We'll be in the lower to middle 20s by midnight, with chills falling into the teens and single...
We'll be in the lower to middle 20s by midnight, with chills falling into the teens and single digits.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

As we prepare to head out the door Monday morning, we’ll certainly want to bundle up. Several of us are to awaken to temperatures in the teens, and many will encounter single digit wind chills as the work or school day commences.

Temperatures in the teens to lower 20s will greet us Monday morning, with chills in the single...
Temperatures in the teens to lower 20s will greet us Monday morning, with chills in the single digits in spots.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

Despite sunshine being in no short supply, temperatures are to struggle mightily throughout the day. Highs aren’t likely to reach much above the freezing mark in the Rockford Metro, while colder outlying locales may not even get to 30°.

Temperatures will struggle to get much above the freezing mark Monday.
Temperatures will struggle to get much above the freezing mark Monday.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

Thus, the famous claim of March coming in like a lion is to very much hold true in 2021!

Temperatures will fall well shy of normal for March's opening day.
Temperatures will fall well shy of normal for March's opening day.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

The chill, however, is to be extremely short-lived. Monday’s northwesterly winds are to be replaced by those blowing out of the southwest Tuesday, and, more importantly, blowing over largely bare ground in that direction. That should allow temperatures to return to the 40s with ease. Warming will continue more earnestly Wednesday, with the year’s first 50° high temperature not at all out of the question.

By the middle of the week, temperatures may be nearly 10° above normal, making a 50° high a...
By the middle of the week, temperatures may be nearly 10° above normal, making a 50° high a possibility.(Mark Henderson, WIFR)

50°+ temperatures here are long overdue! In a typical year, our first such reading occurs on February 8th. In fact, we should’ve already had a high temperature at or above 55°! That typically happens for the first time on February 22. In fact, 60s by this time of the year shouldn’t even be discounted! Our first 60° high temperature occurs, on average, on March 9. All signs point to a lengthy mild spell that promises several days with highs in the 50s next week, and a run toward 60° may not be entirely out of the question at some point during the next two weeks. Stay tuned!

As for precipitation, our next chance for any rain or snowfall appears to be about ten days away.

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March to roar in like a lion, though chill to be short-lived - WIFR
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